Textbooks

An announcement is expected on Thursday, January 19th, from Apple Corporation having to do with their plans in the area of electronic textbooks. As one might imagine, much attention is being paid to this news by the academic world and the publishing world alike.

Today’s market size is an estimated total value of textbook sales in the United States based on a quote from Steve Jobs in the recently published biography about him by Walter Issacson. A brief look at the Census Bureau’s data on the topic suggests that the estimate is reasonable. The Census Bureau figure is provided here as well.

Geographic reference: United States
Year: 2007 and 2010
Market size: $7.06 billion in 2007 (Census data) and $8 billion (Jobs quote from 2010 which appears in the biography Steve Jobs
Source: “Sector 51: Information: Industry Series: Preliminary Product Lines by Kind of Business for the Untied States: 2007,” 2007 Economic Census, available here. The Jobs quote is from an article by Roger Yu in USA Today, titled “Technology, Costs, Lack of Appeal slow e-textbook adoption,” published on January 16, 2012 and available here.
Original source: U.S. Census Bureau
Posted on January 18, 2012

Digital Publishing Market

UK books

Data show combined digital sales in the United Kingdom, including academic, professional, school, and consumer digital downloads and e-books. Academic and professional digital sales accounted for £84 million. Consumer sales, which includes fiction, non-fiction, and children’s books, were £16 million. Of that £16 million, e-book sales accounted for £13 million. The graph to the right breaks down consumer digital sales by category.

Geographic reference: United Kingdom
Year: 2010
Market size: £120 Million
Source: Philip Jones, “Digital Sales Now Worth 6%, as E-books Grow 300% in 2010,” TheBookseller.com, March 5, 2011 available online.
Original Source: Publishers Association

Online Sale of Books & Magazines

One of the industries being most buffeted by the transition to e-commerce is publishing. For decades book publishers have used a network of book retailers as their primary means of getting books to the general public. With the advent of e-commerce this began to change. One can see clearly the speed with which this shift has altered the book selling landscape. Amazon was started in 1994 and by 2010 it became the largest retailer of books in the United States. The previous book retailing leaders, Barnes & Noble and Borders (which entered bankruptcy reorganization this month) have scrambled to adjust to the new world of selling books while independent book sellers continue to hang on for dear life, declining in number every year as they have since the 1980s with the rise of Barnes & Noble and Borders.

Further complicating this dynamic shifting within the book world is the fact that books and magazines themselves are reasonably easily digitized. This means that the Internet provided a means not only to place orders for books and magazines but to instantly receive them in a digital format. While the shift to e-Books is still young—representing less than 9% of the trade book market in 2010—it is a vibrant part of the publishing business and is coloring many of the actions taken by publishers and book sellers alike as they try and adapt to the new realities of the retail landscape for books, magazines, and all printed material.

For anyone interested in more statistics on this subject, we studied it closely last year and have a series of posts on the subject at another of our sites, the Dwarf Planet Press blog site, available here.

Geographic reference: United States
Year: 2003 and 2008
Market size: Sales: $2.06 and $5.14 Billion respectively, an increase of 149%.
Source: “Table 1055. Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses—Total and E-Commerce Sales by Merchandise Line,” Statistical Abstract of the United States: 2011, page 663, U.S. Census Bureau, available online here in a spreadsheet format, and here as a PDF file.
One word of clarification to help prevent any confusion about just what is being presented here. The data in the source table are provided in two columns per year, the first one called “Total,” and the second is “E-Commerce”. The column headed “Total” refers to the total sales for the industry “Electronic Shopping and Mail-order Houses,” [NAICS 4541], and the second column is the e-commerce portion of that industry’s total. Do not confuse the “Total” column for a measure of total sales of the product line listed in that row. It is, rather, the total sales of that product line made electronically and through mail-order houses.
Original Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

Book Wholesalers

The distribution network through which books get from the publisher to the reader is one that has been going through enormous change over the last few decades. First, the big box book stores moved into a space previously occupied by smaller retailers. Then, Amazon got into the business and started serving as both a wholesaler and a retailer, but one without a store front, operating entirely online. Since then, the rise of the electronic book, or ebook, has further altered the way that books make their way to the reader. The landscape for book distribution seems to be in a state of constant change these days, much as the music industry experienced a decade ago. The figures that follow are for the industry designated by the NAICS code 42-4920: Book, Periodical, and Newspaper Merchant Wholesalers.

Geographic reference: United States
Years: 1997, 2002 and 2007
Market size: Number of Establishments: 3,257; 3,464 and 2,789 respectively.
Market size: Sales: $33.63; $30.90 and $28.32 Billion respectively.
Market size: Employment: 89,309; 76,072 and 63,511 respectively.
Source: “Sector 42: EC0742I2: Wholesale Trade: Industry Series: Preliminary Comparative Statistics for the United States (2002 NAICS Basis): 2007 and 2002,” 2007 Economic Census, available online here. The data from 1997 are from the 1997 Economic Census.
Original Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

Number of Books in the World

Books as far as the eye can see

This, of course, is a somewhat unusual sort of market size item but it is an actual estimate produced by Google as part of its overall effort to try and digitize every book in existence. For details about how this count was done, what was included and what was not, check the link below to a blog post by a Google engineer involved in the project.

Geographic reference: World
Year: 2010, as of August 5th
Market size: 129,864,880 books
Source: “All the Books in the World,” LOCUS, September 2010, page 11.
Original source: Google. For details, here is a link to a blog post explaining the estimate.

Posted in Books, Market Size. 4 Comments »

U.S. Book Sales Made through “Bricks & Mortar” Book Stores

Traditional bricks & mortar book stores have been losing ground in terms of market share of all book sales in the United States for a decade now. While the total volume of books sold is on the rise, those sold by companies that run bricks & mortar book stores have declined from 61.5% in 1997 to 50% in 2007. The rise of Amazon to prominence in the book selling market is, of course, a significant reason for this shift. Traditional booksellers are working hard to recapture their prominence in the retailing of books by establishing complex networks for selling electronically and selling eBooks.

Geographic reference: United States
Year: 1997 and 2007
Market size: $9.71 Billion and $12.33 Billion respectively
Source: 1997 Economic Census: Sector 44: Retail Trade: Merchandise Line Sales: Merchandise Lines by Kind of Business and 2007 Economic Census: Sector 44: Retail Trade: Merchandise Line Sales: Merchandise Lines by Kind of Business for the United States: 2007, October 30, 2009. The 1997 data is available online here and the 2007 data is available online here. The September 3, 2010 Dwarf Planet Press blog post presents these Census Bureau data in a summarized fashion. Here’s a link to that post.
Original Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census

Market for Books, Print Books

When it comes to sales growth rates, completely new products have a vast advantage over mature products. Within the book business, eBooks are the new thing right now. As the sale of eBooks continue to rise quickly, many wonder what impact they will have on the sale of printed books. The market sizes listed here are for print books, pBooks if you will, and do not include eBook or audio book sales.

Geographic reference: United States
Year: 2003 and 2009
Market size: $22.2 Billion and $23.4 Billion respectively
Source: Association of American Publishers, 2009 S1 Report, February 2010, page 2 [Online] here
Original Source: AAP and Management Practice

Market for eBooks… thus far

When it comes to sales growth rates, completely new products have a vast advantage over mature products. Within the book business, eBooks are the new thing right now. As the publishing world races to keep up with the faster moving high technology world and its eReader offerings, the market for eBooks will likely show continued rapid growth over the next decade.

Geographic reference: United States
Year: 2003 and 2009
Market size: $19.7 Million and $313.2 Million respectively
Source: Association of American Publishers, 2009 S1 Report, February 2010, page 2 [Online] here
Original Source: AAP and Management Practice

Graphic Novels, Manga and Comic Books

GraphicNovelImage

The market for what is now referred to broadly as “graphic novels” has grown strongly since 2000. Many factors contribute to this growth including such things as an explosive growth in the number of unique book titles published annually, the success of super hero movies in the movie business, and a growing influence from the comic arts scenes in other countries where it has been a strong cultural outlet. In terms of revenue produced by the sales of these graphic products, market share breaks down by category as follows: comic periodicals, 27.5%; Manga, 12.4%, and other graphic novels, 60.2%.

Geographic reference: United States
Year: 2009
Market size: 3,162 unique titles and $1.130 Billion sales
Source: Publishers Weekly, April 26, 2010, p. 12
Original Source: ICV2.com

Size of the Independent Bookseller Market

The data show the number of independent booksellers in the United States according to the American Booksellers Association.
Geographic reference: United States
Year: 1999 and 2010
Market size: 3,250 and 1,400, respectively
Source: Ken Auletta, “Publish or Perish: Can the iPad topple the Kindle, and Save the Book Business?,” The New Yorker, April 26, 2010, pp. 24-31
Original Source: American Booksellers Association